Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 99.133363 110.033321 121.254255 133.642381 146.909005 160.664332 175.978111
2025-03-30 82.150604 98.355214 115.907077 136.213771 158.942125 183.482447 211.865614
2025-04-06 67.804969 87.351703 109.568288 136.394316 167.611144 202.503806 244.158634
2025-04-13 56.884476 78.622023 104.473101 136.923156 176.000928 220.994553 276.148648
2025-04-20 49.994411 73.676239 103.003703 141.077657 188.273119 243.957669 313.692212
2025-04-27 43.945790 68.911032 101.041385 144.071714 198.820680 264.828263 349.041258
2025-05-04 39.467594 65.572917 100.375454 148.295008 210.668641 287.274855 386.556536
2025-05-11 35.210944 61.963884 98.880262 151.073799 220.473877 307.177079 421.160824
2025-05-18 28.881632 54.549035 91.471012 145.322126 218.704989 312.173699 437.029488
2025-05-25 24.435967 49.367256 86.649270 142.584062 220.488165 321.408431 458.090016
2025-06-01 21.295560 45.822864 83.831617 142.319163 225.357188 334.517118 484.116049
2025-06-08 19.034072 43.428595 82.481770 143.950219 232.703314 350.868811 514.461402
2025-06-15 17.799768 42.726795 83.754312 149.561530 245.907345 375.517762 556.433481
2025-06-22 16.188014 41.142097 83.494886 152.836818 255.880194 396.034186 593.366219
2025-06-29 14.225097 38.619837 81.490952 153.300893 261.765241 411.061415 623.227931
2025-07-06 12.542501 36.388423 79.759296 154.022727 267.943940 426.518243 653.831699
2025-07-13 11.655536 35.658811 80.509930 158.621908 279.867588 450.069201 695.638901
2025-07-20 10.663608 34.552037 80.488304 161.922065 289.873519 471.051472 734.193411
2025-07-27 9.948706 33.950167 81.295067 166.536563 301.888260 494.973835 776.996924
2025-08-03 9.097231 32.896085 81.175362 169.568766 311.516271 515.616267 815.510803
2025-08-10 7.290438 29.164103 75.705207 163.327253 306.661857 515.416331 825.115095
2025-08-17 6.074435 26.644912 72.301895 160.354357 306.671124 522.074574 844.207028
2025-08-24 5.258113 25.024063 70.522581 160.068470 310.819941 534.726929 871.776463